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Bainbridge’s foreign policy prediction

Professor Stephen Bainbridge

Prof. Stephen Bainbridge

My dear friend Steve Bainbridge posts:

Russell Kirk once asked:

Are we to saturation-bomb most of Africa and Asia into righteousness, freedom, and democracy? And, having accomplished that, however would we ensure persons yet more unrighteous might not rise up instead of the ogres we had swept away?

With that in mind, and while in now way denigrating the courage of the rebels in Libya, I offer the following prediction: Within the next ten years, the USA will find itself in a de facto cold war with at least two of the new governments we’ve gone to war to install in Iraq, Afghanistan, and Libya. They’ll be allied with Iran, Venezuela, and probably China in an avowedly anti-USA league and all those trillions of tax dollars and thousands of lives will have been wasted on wars of choice that were chosen poorly.

I worry that Steve may indeed be correct in his prediction.

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One Comment

  • Taylor says:

    Bold prediction, considering the likelihood of Iran’s current regime lasting 10 more years and the fact that China, thus far, has been extremely reticent to do anything avowedly anti-U.S.

    Even if we were in cold wars with all those nations, that wouldn’t make our wars of choice a waste of lives and tax dollars. We don’t fight wars for the purpose of becoming friends with the country 10 years later. Rather, we fight wars, apparently, to give our enemies a pinata (U.S. Armed Forces) to swing at that is in their homeland rather than ours – a much smarter strategy, right?

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Anthony Clark Arend is Professor of Government and Foreign Service at Georgetown University and the Director of the Master of Science in Foreign Service in the Walsh School of Foreign Service.

Commentary and analysis at the intersection of international law and politics.